Platform US Election Blog

Goodnight, and Good Luck

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 04:03:43 +0000

thanks for staying with us through this historic evening.

Platform, the new OU Website will be up and running very shortly to continue the discussion and to explore the long term ramifications of this result.

www.open.ac.uk/platform

PRESIDENT OBAMA

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 04:01:39 +0000

CNN project that California, Washington State and Oregon will vote for Obama – giving him 297 electoral votes.

He currently has 51% of the popular vote too.

Fox: Obama wins Virginia = Presidency

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 03:44:27 +0000

Fox have just given Virginia to Obama 50% to 49%; if this is accurate, it gives him 220 votes to 138;

Now, if you take a small leap, that California with 55 electorial votes will go to Obama, this gives him 275. Taking him through the magical 270 barrier and makes him the first African American president in US history.

Utah and Kansas to McCain, Iowa to Obama

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 03:02:26 +0000

Obama 206; McCain 89.

Virginia, North Carolina and Florida still in play.

To reiterate, for McCain to have any chance, he has to win them all.

And more.

CNN call New Mexico for Obama

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:56:46 +0000

this is big because now it effectively holes McCain under the waterline.

Scores are Obama 200; McCain 124. GOing to be some more calls in 5 mins.

These will decide it.

Cushion for Ambassador Bolton

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:49:17 +0000

Just watching John Bolton on BBC sat next to Simon Schama. I have rarely seen a man look so uncomfortable.

Maybe his seat is inadequate.

How McCain can win without Ohio

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:44:00 +0000

Only Lincoln has done it before so here’ his road map.

Win all the central states, including Idaho – gives him 160. He then has to win Colorado, New Mexico (which Fox have already called for Obama); Iowa, Missouri, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida. But the most he can conceivably get is 266.

Consolation Prize

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:27:41 +0000

McCain picks up Louisiana according to CBS.

Other networks are going with Ohio to Obama now. Just as Sky’s multi-map breaks down.

Now the big call

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:21:00 +0000

Fox gives Ohio to Obama.

The most McCain can win now is 266 votes by winning every state George Bush carried in 2004.

Indiana and Virginia are still toss-ups.

minor history made on Fox- I’ve never seen Karl Rove look contrite before, but there he is. Almost Loveable.

Big call from FOX

guyb99 — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:08:40 +0000

UPDATE – they called Ohio for Obama but they have now uncalled it. Bad info from their local affiliate.

Sorry to get you all excited there.

New Mexico is Obama’s though.

IN the latest polls, Obama is ahead in Ohio and Florida, with just under half of Florida’s votes cast.

I’m going to stick my neck out and say that if McCain loses Florida, he loses the race.